Bus Transport for Brisbane (Brisbane Transport) FY 12/13 to 19/20

[ozbob]

Spreadsheet > https://backontrack.org/docs/patronage/2019_20/br/TfB12_13to19_20.ods

[Gazza]

Out of all the routes not currently a BUZ or high frequency, 300 stands out, and needs to happen ASAP given the KSD upgrade is drawing to a close.

[Andrew]

Out of all the routes not currently a BUZ or high frequency, 300 stands out, and needs to happen ASAP given the KSD upgrade is drawing to a close.

I suspect they will put in a Hamilton Glider rather than upgrading the 300. Bulk of pax on 300 travel between stops from Racecourse Rd to the City.

Schrödinger's Bus: Early, on-time and late, simultaneously, until you see it...

[techblitz]

I suspect they will put in a Hamilton Glider rather than upgrading the 300. Bulk of pax on 300 travel between stops from Racecourse Rd to the City.

Yea but you need to look at the history of buz implementation in Brisbane and then also take a look at the 'bulimba glider' proposal and its subsequent treatment by TFB/BCC where they are 'not interested'...

On those points alone....a Toombul shoppingtown buz would have better odds of being implemented over a Hamilton/portside glider....

300buz main benefits >> At the other end...it terminates at a far higher place of business importance than portside/Hamilton...
300 buz would termiate at a high frequency rail service(Toombul station).......Toombul shopping town also has x-town routes to the northern busway and skygate(free bus to airport).


         

[James]

It is interesting taking apart the figures for each bus route and comparing the % decline each route has had overall. It does paint a picture of the pandemic and where the big losses in patronage occurred - i.e. who stopped going to work and who had to go anyway.

1. The NightLink services have been smashed (understandable given nightclubs couldn't operate for a few months), with an average drop of 35% and the N385 being Brisbane's bus route with the biggest patronage drop (45%).
2. Routes travelling to a University (UQ & Griffith mainly, but also QUT's 391) make up most of the bottom 20 (13/20) once you exclude the NightLink routes, with an average drop of 32.6%.
a) The additional 402 services added mid-last year have made up for the drop on that service, making it one of only four routes to record a patronage gain (the 28, P456 and 304 being the others - all thanks to service changes).
3. Routes which service industrial areas where people had little choice about working have done the best. Route 302 is down by 3.8%, with routes 360/361/364 (Herston), 369 (Stafford Rd / Airport precinct) and 126 (Acacia Ridge TAFE / Industrial area) only down by 10-12%.
4. Welfare routes have generally done better, with the smallest drops of between 10-15% - probably because you wouldn't use a bus route like the 106, 123, 198 or 338 unless it was 'essential' anyway.
5. The frequent network (BUZ + Gliders + 66) have been slightly less resilient than the network overall, recording a 21.0% drop vs. 20.7%. If you exclude the 66 and 412 due to the Uni factor, this improves to 20.2%.

It's interesting to look through and see which individual routes have moved more than others. I'm sure a decent data scientist would be able to piece it together and use demographics to show which communities have embraced working from home and deserted public transport compared to others.