SEQ Quarterly Patronage Q1 FY 16/17 to present quarter

[ozbob]

Spreadsheet > https://backontrack.org/docs/patronage/2018_19/quarter_q1_16_17toq4_18_19.ods

[ozbob]

^ updated for Q4 FY 18/19.

regression equation for total patronage:  f(x) = 0.3455 x  +  43.5858

x= 1 ( Q1 16/17)  trend patronage = 43.9313

x= 12 (Q4 18/19) trend patronage =  48.0773

Then % increase over the three financial years = ((48.0773 - 43.9313) / 43.9313) x 100 = +9.4%

If this trend was maintained this would equal to an annual patronage in 2029 of 

= (( 0.3455 x 56 ) + 43.5858 ) x 4 = 252 million passenger trips.

[ozbob]

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1187843399337906177.html

Thread by @railbotforum: "SEQ Quarterly Patronage Q1 FY 16/17 to quarter Q4 FY 18/19. The last 3 financial years have seen a steady climb in patronage, an increase of [...]" #qldpol #Target400

[ozbob]

Facebook ...

[ozbob]

Sent to all outlets:

26th October 2019

Some good news ... SEQ Public transport patronage has turned around

Good Morning,

The TransLink Tracker Q4 FY 18/19 was finally published yesterday afternoon ( https://www.publications.qld.gov.au/dataset/translink-division-quarterly-reports/resource/31643189-648d-4d83-b10b-3356969859a9 ).

This has now allowed us to complete our three year quarterly patronage series from Q1 16/17 through to Q4 18/19 ( see https://railbotforum.org/mbs/index.php?topic=13735.0 ).

Results are interesting.  Over the three years there has been a growth in passenger trips of around +9.4%, this is an average yearly increase of  around +3.13%.   The only mode to not show a positive trend was ferry (river and SMBI).  The river ferries have been impacted by speed restrictions due to construction activities and this has had an impact.  Good growth on bus, rail (heavy),  and light rail.

RAIL Back On Track has set a target of 400 million annual passenger trips on SEQ Public Transport by 2029 ( see https://railbotforum.org/mbs/index.php?board=96.0).  If the present positive trend was maintained to 2029 this would equate to ~ 252 million annual trips.  With projects such as Smart Ticketing, Cross River Rail, Brisbane Metro coming on stream we believe a target of 400 million is very achievable.



Our Citytrain network can carry a lot more passengers than it does presently.  It is important to improve frequency, particularly out of peak, and improve support for our rail network with much better feeder bus support.  These things, coupled with overall bus network reform and fare affordability improvements, together with the major projects coming on stream, we will see the target of 400 million annual passenger trips reached with ease by 2029.

Best wishes,
Robert

Robert Dow
Administration
admin@backontrack.org
RAIL Back On Track https://backontrack.org

[ozbob]

https://twitter.com/railbotforum/status/1187879516443570176

[ozbob]

Updated for Q1 FY 19/20

Spreadsheet > https://backontrack.org/docs/patronage/2019_20/quarter_q1_16_17toq1_19_20.ods

[ozbob]

Facebook ...

[ozbob]

Sent to all outlets:

7th December 2019

SEQ Quarterly Patronage Update - Q1 2019-20

Good Morning,

TransLink have introduced the ' TransLink Performance Dashboard ' ( https://translink.com.au/about-translink/reports-and-publications/performance ) which replaces the TransLink Tracker Quarterly Reports.

TransLink states the dashboard ' brings greater accessibility and visibility of performance on SEQ's public transport network '.  We hope that with the new dashboard quarterly data will be made available a lot quicker than it was with the Trackers.

The Dashboard is an improvement and aligns with the new format of the monthly performance snapshots.

Using the patronage data from the Dashboard for Q1 financial year 2019-20 we can update our quarterly patronage series.

Good overall growth continues.






A target of 400 million passengers trips by 2029 is achievable in our view.

Best wishes,

Robert

Robert Dow
Administration
admin@backontrack.org
RAIL Back On Track https://backontrack.org

Reference:

https://railbotforum.org/mbs/index.php?topic=13735.msg231027#msg231027

Sent to all outlets:

26th October 2019

Some good news ... SEQ Public transport patronage has turned around

Good Morning,

The TransLink Tracker Q4 FY 18/19 was finally published yesterday afternoon ( https://www.publications.qld.gov.au/dataset/translink-division-quarterly-reports/resource/31643189-648d-4d83-b10b-3356969859a9 ).

This has now allowed us to complete our three year quarterly patronage series from Q1 16/17 through to Q4 18/19 ( see https://railbotforum.org/mbs/index.php?topic=13735.0 ).

Results are interesting.  Over the three years there has been a growth in passenger trips of around +9.4%, this is an average yearly increase of  around +3.13%.   The only mode to not show a positive trend was ferry (river and SMBI).  The river ferries have been impacted by speed restrictions due to construction activities and this has had an impact.  Good growth on bus, rail (heavy),  and light rail.

RAIL Back On Track has set a target of 400 million annual passenger trips on SEQ Public Transport by 2029 ( see https://railbotforum.org/mbs/index.php?board=96.0).  If the present positive trend was maintained to 2029 this would equate to ~ 252 million annual trips.  With projects such as Smart Ticketing, Cross River Rail, Brisbane Metro coming on stream we believe a target of 400 million is very achievable.



Our Citytrain network can carry a lot more passengers than it does presently.  It is important to improve frequency, particularly out of peak, and improve support for our rail network with much better feeder bus support.  These things, coupled with overall bus network reform and fare affordability improvements, together with the major projects coming on stream, we will see the target of 400 million annual passenger trips reached with ease by 2029.

Best wishes,
Robert

Robert Dow
Administration
admin@backontrack.org
RAIL Back On Track https://backontrack.org

[ozbob]

https://twitter.com/railbotforum/status/1203062122986393600

[ozbob]

Updated for Q2 FY 19/20



Spreadsheet > https://backontrack.org/docs/patronage/2019_20/quarter_q1_16_17toq2_19_20.ods

[ozbob]

Facebook ...

[ozbob]

Updated for Q3 FY 19/20





Spreadsheet > https://backontrack.org/docs/patronage/2019_20/quarter_q1_16_17toq3_19_20.ods

[ozbob]

Facebook ...

[ozbob]

Updated for Q4 FY 19/20





Spreadsheet > https://backontrack.org/docs/patronage/2019_20/quarter_q1_16_17toq4_19_20.ods

[ozbob]

Facebook ...

Quarterly patronage update TransLink SEQ 17th September 2020 Performance data for the fourth quarter (Q4) 2019/20 has...

Posted by RAIL - Back On Track on Wednesday, 16 September 2020

[ozbob]

https://twitter.com/railbotforum/status/1306317130141323264